Millwall 0-3 Middlesbrough
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: H. Hackney 8.3 · A. Jones 8.0 · L. Ayling 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections22:3316 August 2025: the Championship matchday 2 match ended Millwall 0-3 Middlesbrough.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Middlesbrough scored first, in the 49th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 49' H. Hackney, assisted by M. Whittaker → 0-1; 87' A. Jones → 0-2; 90' D. Burgzorg, assisted by F. Azaz → 0-3.
Yellow cards: Millwall 4, Middlesbrough 5.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Millwall 0.60, Middlesbrough 0.99; shots 11-12 (1-5 on target); possession 45%-55%; corners 5-10; pass accuracy 74%-80%.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 0-3 in the second.
Standout players
B. Mitchell was Millwall's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 79 minutes: 3 tackles, won 5 of 9 duels.
H. Hackney was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, 1 tackle, won 6 of 13 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
16 August 2025: the Championship matchday 2 match ended Millwall 0-3 Middlesbrough. Goals: H. Hackney 49', A. Jones 87', D. Burgzorg 90'. Match stats: possession Millwall 45%, Middlesbrough 55%; shots on target 1-5; expected goals (xG) 0.60-0.99.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.