Derby 3-5 Coventry
Championship · Matchweek 2
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: E. Adams 7.9 · E. Mason-Clark 7.9 · V. Torp 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections14:14Derby lost to Coventry 3-5 in the Championship matchday 2 on 16 August 2025.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-2 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Coventry scored first, in the 7th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 7' B. Thomas → 0-1; 12' C. Elder → 1-1; 25' H. Wright (penalty) → 1-2; 45' C. Morris (penalty) → 2-2; 50' E. Adams → 3-2; 72' B. Thomas-Asante → 3-3; 75' E. Mason-Clark, assisted by M. van Ewijk → 3-4; 79' V. Torp, assisted by M. van Ewijk → 3-5.
Yellow cards: Derby 2, Coventry 5.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Derby 1.43, Coventry 3.24; shots 13-20 (4-10 on target); possession 48%-52%; corners 6-5; pass accuracy 77%-80%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.81.
Goals by half: 2-2 in the first, 1-3 in the second.
Standout players
E. Adams was Derby's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, won 3 of 13 duels.
E. Mason-Clark was Coventry's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 89 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 3 key passes, 1 tackle, won 8 of 16 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
16 August 2025: the Championship matchday 2 match ended Derby 3-5 Coventry. Goals: B. Thomas 7', C. Elder 12', H. Wright 25' (pen), C. Morris 45' (pen), E. Adams 50', B. Thomas-Asante 72', E. Mason-Clark 75', V. Torp 79'. Match stats: possession Derby 48%, Coventry 52%; shots on target 4-10; expected goals (xG) 1.43-3.24.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.