Middlesbrough 0-2 Nottingham Forest
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: J. Lolley 8.9 · C. Pantilimon 7.7 · Daniel Ayala 7.6
Match analysis
5 sections05:01Middlesbrough lost to Nottingham Forest 0-2 in the Championship matchday 12 on 6 October 2018.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Nottingham Forest scored first, in the 49th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 49' J. Lolley, assisted by D. Murphy → 0-1; 77' L. Grabban, assisted by J. Lolley → 0-2.
Jack Robinson (Nottingham Forest) was sent off in the 80th minute; yellow cards: Middlesbrough 2, Nottingham Forest 3.
Statistical comparison
Shots 17-16 (4-5 on target); possession 53%-47%; corners 11-4; pass accuracy 70%-67%.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 0-2 in the second.
Standout players
Daniel Ayala was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 90 minutes: 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 1 tackle, won 13 of 20 duels.
J. Lolley was Nottingham Forest's highest-rated player at 8.9 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 4 shots on target, 3 key passes, won 9 of 16 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Middlesbrough vs Nottingham Forest (Championship matchday 12, 6 October 2018) finished 0-2. Goals: J. Lolley 49', L. Grabban 77'. Match stats: possession Middlesbrough 53%, Nottingham Forest 47%; shots on target 4-5.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.