QPR 1-1 Derby
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: N. Wells 8.1 · G. Cameron 7.8 · J. Lynch 7.6
Match analysis
5 sections18:37QPR drew with Derby 1-1 in the Championship matchday 12 on 6 October 2018.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. QPR levelled after the break. Derby scored first, in the 24th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 24' J. Marriott, assisted by B. Johnson → 0-1; 48' G. Cameron, assisted by N. Wells → 1-1.
Yellow cards: QPR 3, Derby 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 13-14 (3-5 on target); possession 44%-56%; corners 1-10; pass accuracy 70%-72%.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
N. Wells was QPR's highest-rated player at 8.1 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 5 key passes, 2 tackles, won 6 of 15 duels.
J. Marriott was Derby's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 2 key passes, 2 tackles, won 4 of 12 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
QPR vs Derby (Championship matchday 12, 6 October 2018) finished 1-1. Goals: J. Marriott 24', G. Cameron 48'. Match stats: possession QPR 44%, Derby 56%; shots on target 3-5.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.