Middlesbrough 1-2 Millwall
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: J. Coburn 8.5 · T. Conway 7.9 · Zak Norton Sturge 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections13:58Middlesbrough lost to Millwall 1-2 in the Championship matchday 40 on 3 April 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Millwall came from behind in the second half to win. Middlesbrough scored first, in the 26th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 26' D. Fry, assisted by A. Browne → 1-0; 58' J. Coburn, assisted by M. Ivanovic → 1-1; 86' J. Coburn, assisted by B. Bannan → 1-2.
Yellow cards: Middlesbrough 1, Millwall 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Middlesbrough 3.04, Millwall 0.79; shots 32-11 (6-5 on target); possession 61%-39%; corners 17-6; pass accuracy 76%-65%.
Middlesbrough created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-2 in the second.
Standout players
T. Conway was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 96 minutes: 1 key pass, 2 tackles, won 9 of 10 duels.
J. Coburn was Millwall's highest-rated player at 8.5 in 96 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, 2 tackles, won 3 of 17 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
3 April 2026: the Championship matchday 40 match ended Middlesbrough 1-2 Millwall. Goals: D. Fry 26', J. Coburn 58', J. Coburn 86'. Match stats: possession Middlesbrough 61%, Millwall 39%; shots on target 6-5; expected goals (xG) 3.04-0.79.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


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