Leeds 3-2 Middlesbrough
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: C. Summerville 8.2 · S. Byram 8.0 · D. James 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections18:02Leeds beat Middlesbrough 3-2 in the Championship matchday 19 on 2 December 2023.
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Result and story of the match
It was 3-2 at half-time. Middlesbrough scored first, in the 3rd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 3' E. Latte Lath, assisted by A. Bangura → 0-1; 5' D. James → 1-1; 7' C. Summerville → 2-1; 38' J. Piroe (penalty) → 3-1; 45' E. Latte Lath, assisted by D. Barlaser → 3-2.
Anfernee Dijksteel (Middlesbrough) was sent off in the 63rd minute; yellow cards: Leeds 2, Middlesbrough 7.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Leeds 3.35, Middlesbrough 1.24; shots 20-11 (9-5 on target); possession 61%-39%; corners 6-3; pass accuracy 91%-84%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 2.11.
Goals by half: 3-2 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
C. Summerville was Leeds's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 89 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 5 key passes, 4 tackles, won 8 of 18 duels.
E. Latte Lath was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 72 minutes: 2 goals, 3 shots on target, won 5 of 12 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Leeds vs Middlesbrough (Championship matchday 19, 2 December 2023) finished 3-2. Goals: E. Latte Lath 3', D. James 5', C. Summerville 7', J. Piroe 38' (pen), E. Latte Lath 45'. Match stats: possession Leeds 61%, Middlesbrough 39%; shots on target 9-5; expected goals (xG) 3.35-1.24.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.