Millwall 1-1 Sunderland
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: B. Norton-Cuffy 7.6 · M. Wallace 7.3 · D. Ballard 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections05:102 December 2023: the Championship matchday 19 match ended Millwall 1-1 Sunderland.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Sunderland levelled after the break. Millwall scored first, in the 44th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 44' K. Nisbet, assisted by B. Norton-Cuffy → 1-0; 78' J. Clarke (penalty) → 1-1.
Yellow cards: Millwall 5, Sunderland 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Millwall 0.68, Sunderland 1.56; shots 7-10 (4-3 on target); possession 40%-60%; corners 4-4; pass accuracy 67%-81%.
Sunderland created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
B. Norton-Cuffy was Millwall's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 1 key pass, 4 tackles, won 14 of 24 duels.
J. Clarke was Sunderland's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 4 tackles, won 13 of 30 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Millwall vs Sunderland (Championship matchday 19, 2 December 2023) finished 1-1. Goals: K. Nisbet 44', J. Clarke 78' (pen). Match stats: possession Millwall 40%, Sunderland 60%; shots on target 4-3; expected goals (xG) 0.68-1.56.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.