Ipswich 1-1 Middlesbrough
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: L. Davis 8.2 · Sam Morsy 7.7 · L. Ayling 7.6
Match analysis
5 sections07:4313 April 2024: the Championship matchday 43 match ended Ipswich 1-1 Middlesbrough.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. Middlesbrough scored first, in the 20th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 20' E. Latte Lath, assisted by L. Ayling → 0-1; 30' M. Luongo, assisted by L. Davis → 1-1.
Yellow cards: Ipswich 2, Middlesbrough 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Ipswich 2.03, Middlesbrough 1.32; shots 21-11 (5-5 on target); possession 55%-45%; corners 6-4; pass accuracy 86%-81%.
Ipswich created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
L. Davis was Ipswich's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 4 key passes, won 2 of 2 duels.
L. Ayling was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 3 key passes, 3 tackles, won 6 of 8 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Ipswich vs Middlesbrough (Championship matchday 43, 13 April 2024) finished 1-1. Goals: E. Latte Lath 20', M. Luongo 30'. Match stats: possession Ipswich 55%, Middlesbrough 45%; shots on target 5-5; expected goals (xG) 2.03-1.32.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.