Millwall 3-1 Cardiff
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: J. Cooper 7.7 · R. Longman 7.3 · G. Saville 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections18:24Millwall beat Cardiff 3-1 in the Championship matchday 43 on 13 April 2024.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-1 at half-time. Millwall scored first, in the 9th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 9' M. Obafemi, assisted by Z. Flemming → 1-0; 24' Y. Meïté, assisted by R. Colwill → 1-1; 45+4' J. Cooper, assisted by R. Longman → 2-1; 90+3' D. Watmore, assisted by B. Norton-Cuffy → 3-1.
Yellow cards: Millwall 3, Cardiff 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Millwall 1.36, Cardiff 0.32; shots 15-7 (7-4 on target); possession 38%-62%; corners 6-4; pass accuracy 68%-80%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.04.
Goals by half: 2-1 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
J. Cooper was Millwall's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, won 3 of 6 duels.
Y. Meïté was Cardiff's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 60 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, won 6 of 15 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Millwall beat Cardiff 3-1 in the Championship matchday 43 on 13 April 2024. Goals: M. Obafemi 9', Y. Meïté 24', J. Cooper 45+4', D. Watmore 90+3'. Match stats: possession Millwall 38%, Cardiff 62%; shots on target 7-4; expected goals (xG) 1.36-0.32.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.