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Danubio 0-0 Defensor Sporting

Primera División · Apertura - 8
Danubio
00
Full-timeHT 0-0
Defensor Sporting
Referee J. BurgosThu 26 Mar 2026, 22:00

Model accuracy

Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track record

There was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.

The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?

Highlight 1
0–3 goals
79%
Clearleague base 78%calibrated
retrospective hit
Highlight 2
Level at half-time
47%
Notableleague base 45%calibrated
retrospective hit
No third clear market here; weak estimates are not added.
Match result · DAN 31% · X 29% · DEF 40%Predicted score 0-1 · Most likely: 1-1 13% · 0-1 13% · 0-0 11%All markets ›

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

All match events

14All ›
Kick-off · 22:00
20'
Juan Manuel JorgeYellow card
37'
Mauricio AmaroYellow card
Half-time 0-0
46'
F. CastroOn · A. Torterolo off
52'
E. CuelloOn · Juan Jorge off
55'
Nicolas AzambujaYellow card
61'
S. BruschiOn · A. Machado off
61'
B. LozanoOn · N. Wunsch off
72'
I. CostantinoOn · M. Ferreira off
81'
F. BalattiOn · E. Cabrera off
81'
E. FemiaOn · M. Peralta off
82'
G. RodriguezOn · L. Agazzi off
89'
Axel FrugoneYellow card
90+1'
E. FigueroaOn · S. Rodriguez off
90+2'
Santino Bruschi DíazYellow card
Full time 0-0

Match stats

No stats yet.

Starting XIs

4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1Line-ups ›
Danubio
4-3-3
Coach Diego MonarrizBench 10
Defensor Sporting
4-2-3-1
Coach Roman CuelloBench 10
Your predictionFull time 0-0
DAN
–
DEF
–
Model: 0-1 (13%)
No prediction · Locked 22:00

Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.

Match analysis

4 sections23:06

Danubio drew with Defensor Sporting 0-0 in the Primera División on 26 March 2026.

Read more ›Close

Result and story of the match

It was 0-0 at half-time. There were no goals.

Goals and key moments

No goals yet.

Yellow cards: Danubio 1, Defensor Sporting 4.

Statistical comparison

Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 0-0 in the second.

How the model did

There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.

Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Danubio 31%, draw 29%, Defensor Sporting 40%.

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

Match summary

26 March 2026: the Primera División match ended Danubio 0-0 Defensor Sporting.

Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record

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