Racing Montevideo 1-1 Progreso
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Match analysis
5 sections16:4226 March 2026: the Primera División match ended Racing Montevideo 1-1 Progreso.
Read more ›Close
Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Progreso levelled after the break. Racing Montevideo scored first, in the 18th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 18' R. Dudok → 1-0; 53' F. De Leon → 1-1.
Agustin Pinheiro (Progreso) was sent off in the 82nd minute; yellow cards: Racing Montevideo 5, Progreso 6.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: R. Dudok, F. De Leon.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Racing Montevideo 59%, draw 23%, Progreso 18%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Racing Montevideo vs Progreso (Primera División, 26 March 2026) finished 1-1. Goals: R. Dudok 18', F. De Leon 53'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.