Birmingham 1-3 Middlesbrough
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: M. Targett 9.2 · S. Brynn 8.2 · L. Ayling 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections11:53Birmingham lost to Middlesbrough 1-3 in the Championship matchday 35 on 2 March 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-2 at half-time. Middlesbrough scored first, in the 13th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 13' M. Targett, assisted by A. Morris → 0-1; 26' M. Targett, assisted by H. Hackney → 0-2; 48' M. Ducksch, assisted by J. Stansfield → 1-2; 60' D. Strelec, assisted by L. Ayling → 1-3.
Yellow cards: Birmingham 2, Middlesbrough 4.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Birmingham 0.61, Middlesbrough 1.07; shots 11-10 (7-3 on target); possession 60%-40%; corners 6-2; pass accuracy 76%-70%.
Goals by half: 0-2 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
M. Ducksch was Birmingham's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 1 tackle, won 5 of 11 duels.
M. Targett was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 9.2 in 90 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, 1 tackle, won 1 of 3 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Birmingham vs Middlesbrough (Championship matchday 35, 2 March 2026) finished 1-3. Goals: M. Targett 13', M. Targett 26', M. Ducksch 48', D. Strelec 60'. Match stats: possession Birmingham 60%, Middlesbrough 40%; shots on target 7-3; expected goals (xG) 0.61-1.07.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


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