West Brom 4-1 Reading
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: K. Bartley 8.1 · D. Gayle 8.1 · H. Barnes 7.8
Match analysis
5 sections11:316 October 2018: the Championship matchday 12 match ended West Brom 4-1 Reading.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. West Brom came from behind in the second half to win. Reading scored first, in the 6th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 6' L. Bacuna, assisted by J. Swift → 0-1; 49' D. Gayle, assisted by T. Mears → 1-1; 65' D. Gayle, assisted by K. Bartley → 2-1; 72' H. Barnes, assisted by J. Rodriguez → 3-1; 80' K. Bartley, assisted by C. Brunt → 4-1.
Yellow cards: West Brom 2, Reading 3.
Statistical comparison
Shots 14-15 (5-6 on target); possession 66%-34%; corners 7-7; pass accuracy 86%-75%.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 4-0 in the second.
Standout players
D. Gayle was West Brom's highest-rated player at 8.1 in 90 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, 2 key passes, won 1 of 9 duels.
L. Bacuna was Reading's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 81 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 3 key passes, 1 tackle, won 4 of 9 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
West Brom vs Reading (Championship matchday 12, 6 October 2018) finished 4-1. Goals: L. Bacuna 6', D. Gayle 49', D. Gayle 65', H. Barnes 72', K. Bartley 80'. Match stats: possession West Brom 66%, Reading 34%; shots on target 5-6.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.