West Brom 2-3 Middlesbrough
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: B. Assombalonga 8.5 · R. Harper 7.7 · D. Gayle 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections09:06West Brom lost to Middlesbrough 2-3 in the Championship matchday 30 on 2 February 2019.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Middlesbrough scored first, in the 17th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 17' G. Saville → 0-1; 42' J. Rodriguez, assisted by R. Harper → 1-1; 63' D. Gayle, assisted by J. Rodriguez → 2-1; 75' B. Assombalonga, assisted by J. Hugill → 2-2; 83' B. Assombalonga → 2-3.
Yellow cards: West Brom 1, Middlesbrough 4.
Statistical comparison
Shots 19-14 (6-5 on target); possession 67%-33%; corners 9-1; pass accuracy 83%-59%.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 1-2 in the second.
Standout players
R. Harper was West Brom's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, 1 tackle, won 8 of 11 duels.
B. Assombalonga was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 8.5 in 25 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, won 1 of 1 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
2 February 2019: the Championship matchday 30 match ended West Brom 2-3 Middlesbrough. Goals: G. Saville 17', J. Rodriguez 42', D. Gayle 63', B. Assombalonga 75', B. Assombalonga 83'. Match stats: possession West Brom 67%, Middlesbrough 33%; shots on target 6-5.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.