West Brom 4-2 Middlesbrough
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: C. Kipré 7.9 · J. Swift 7.6 · E. Pieters 7.2
Match analysis
5 sections13:45West Brom beat Middlesbrough 4-2 in the Championship matchday 4 on 26 August 2023.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-1 at half-time. West Brom scored first, in the 22nd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 22' C. Kipré, assisted by S. Ajayi → 1-0; 28' J. Swift, assisted by J. Molumby → 2-0; 29' E. Latte Lath, assisted by S. Silvera → 2-1; 47' B. Thomas-Asante → 3-1; 85' M. Forss (penalty) → 3-2; 90+1' J. Sarmiento, assisted by A. Mowatt → 4-2.
Tommy Smith (Middlesbrough) was sent off in the 51st minute; yellow cards: West Brom 2, Middlesbrough 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) West Brom 0.66, Middlesbrough 1.79; shots 7-15 (4-5 on target); possession 58%-42%; corners 4-2; pass accuracy 92%-86%.
Middlesbrough created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 2-1 in the first, 2-1 in the second.
Standout players
C. Kipré was West Brom's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, won 3 of 3 duels.
E. Latte Lath was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 72 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, won 1 of 3 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
West Brom beat Middlesbrough 4-2 in the Championship matchday 4 on 26 August 2023. Goals: C. Kipré 22', J. Swift 28', E. Latte Lath 29', B. Thomas-Asante 47', M. Forss 85' (pen), J. Sarmiento 90+1'. Match stats: possession West Brom 58%, Middlesbrough 42%; shots on target 4-5; expected goals (xG) 0.66-1.79.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.