Wanderers 1-1 Defensor Sporting
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Match analysis
5 sections11:03Wanderers drew with Defensor Sporting 1-1 in the Primera División on 7 February 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. Defensor Sporting scored first, in the 3rd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 3' F. Castro → 0-1; 42' L. Cosentino → 1-1.
Yellow cards: Wanderers 3, Defensor Sporting 1.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: F. Castro, L. Cosentino.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Wanderers 32%, draw 31%, Defensor Sporting 37%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
7 February 2026: the Primera División match ended Wanderers 1-1 Defensor Sporting. Goals: F. Castro 3', L. Cosentino 42'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.