Progreso 0-3 Central Espanol
Primera División · Apertura - 1Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Starting XIs
Line-ups ›Match analysis
5 sections11:25Progreso lost to Central Espanol 0-3 in the Primera División on 7 February 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-2 at half-time. Central Espanol scored first, in the 3rd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 3' R. Tarragona (penalty) → 0-1; 18' M. Montiel → 0-2; 61' F. Camarda → 0-3.
H. Carroso (Progreso) was sent off in the 45th minute; A. Pinheiro (Progreso) was sent off in the 66th minute; yellow cards: Progreso 4, Central Espanol 2.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 0-2 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: R. Tarragona, M. Montiel, F. Camarda.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Progreso 31%, draw 26%, Central Espanol 43%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Progreso vs Central Espanol (Primera División, 7 February 2026) finished 0-3. Goals: R. Tarragona 3' (pen), M. Montiel 18', F. Camarda 61'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.