ST Johnstone 0-1 Celtic
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Standouts: T. Steward 8.3 · M. Baur 8.3 · S. Johnstone 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections13:559 September 2026: the Premiership matchday 3 match ended ST Johnstone 0-1 Celtic.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Celtic scored first, in the 52nd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 52' M. Baur, assisted by H. Hassan → 0-1.
Yellow cards: ST Johnstone 2, Celtic 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) ST Johnstone 0.77, Celtic 2.22; shots 9-15 (3-9 on target); possession 40%-60%; corners 2-11; pass accuracy 78%-90%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.45.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
T. Steward was ST Johnstone's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 90 minutes: 8 saves.
M. Baur was Celtic's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 4 tackles, won 5 of 7 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): ST Johnstone 24%, draw 24%, Celtic 53%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
9 September 2026: the Premiership matchday 3 match ended ST Johnstone 0-1 Celtic. Goals: M. Baur 52'. Match stats: possession ST Johnstone 40%, Celtic 60%; shots on target 3-9; expected goals (xG) 0.77-2.22.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.