QPR 0-4 Middlesbrough
Championship · Matchweek 36Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: L. Ayling 8.9 · H. Hackney 8.5 · T. Conway 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections06:228 March 2026: the Championship matchday 36 match ended QPR 0-4 Middlesbrough.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Middlesbrough scored first, in the 20th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 20' D. Strelec, assisted by M. Whittaker → 0-1; 68' A. Browne → 0-2; 72' H. Hackney, assisted by T. Conway → 0-3; 88' T. Conway (penalty) → 0-4.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) QPR 0.69, Middlesbrough 3.80; shots 9-16 (3-7 on target); possession 31%-69%; corners 3-8; pass accuracy 73%-88%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 3.11.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 0-3 in the second.
Standout players
J. Dunne was QPR's highest-rated player at 6.7 in 90 minutes: 2 key passes, 1 tackle, won 2 of 4 duels.
L. Ayling was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 8.9 in 90 minutes: 1 key pass, won 4 of 5 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
8 March 2026: the Championship matchday 36 match ended QPR 0-4 Middlesbrough. Goals: D. Strelec 20', A. Browne 68', H. Hackney 72', T. Conway 88' (pen). Match stats: possession QPR 31%, Middlesbrough 69%; shots on target 3-7; expected goals (xG) 0.69-3.80.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.