Preston 1-1 Millwall
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: M. Frøkjær-Jensen 7.7 · Z. Flemming 7.5 · L. Lindsay 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections16:13Preston drew with Millwall 1-1 in the Championship matchday 12 on 21 October 2023.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. Preston scored first, in the 3rd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 3' M. Frøkjær-Jensen, assisted by W. Keane → 1-0; 30' Z. Flemming, assisted by A. Campbell → 1-1.
Yellow cards: Preston 4, Millwall 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Preston 0.48, Millwall 0.34; shots 7-7 (2-4 on target); possession 54%-46%; corners 5-2; pass accuracy 78%-73%.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
M. Frøkjær-Jensen was Preston's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 84 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 3 tackles, won 5 of 8 duels.
Z. Flemming was Millwall's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, won 6 of 11 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Preston drew with Millwall 1-1 in the Championship matchday 12 on 21 October 2023. Goals: M. Frøkjær-Jensen 3', Z. Flemming 30'. Match stats: possession Preston 54%, Millwall 46%; shots on target 2-4; expected goals (xG) 0.48-0.34.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.