Preston 2-1 Middlesbrough
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: C. Akpom 7.9 · L. Lindsay 7.7 · J. Storey 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections02:4929 October 2022: the Championship matchday 18 match ended Preston 2-1 Middlesbrough.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Middlesbrough scored first, in the 7th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 7' C. Akpom, assisted by D. Lenihan → 0-1; 35' E. Riis, assisted by L. Lindsay → 1-1; 90+1' J. Storey, assisted by L. Lindsay → 2-1.
Yellow cards: Preston 3, Middlesbrough 3.
Statistical comparison
Shots 13-9 (4-1 on target); possession 51%-49%; corners 2-4; pass accuracy 82%-82%.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
J. Storey was Preston's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, won 3 of 5 duels.
C. Akpom was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 2 tackles, won 9 of 18 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Preston vs Middlesbrough (Championship matchday 18, 29 October 2022) finished 2-1. Goals: C. Akpom 7', E. Riis 35', J. Storey 90+1'. Match stats: possession Preston 51%, Middlesbrough 49%; shots on target 4-1.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.