Preston 2-2 Middlesbrough
Championship · Matchweek 5Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: J. Storey 9.2 · B. Whiteman 8.5 · M. Targett 8.3
Match analysis
5 sections01:09Preston drew with Middlesbrough 2-2 in the Championship matchday 5 on 13 September 2025.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Middlesbrough levelled after the break. Preston scored first, in the 22nd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 22' L. Dobbin, assisted by J. Storey → 1-0; 72' M. Targett, assisted by T. Conway → 1-1; 88' J. Storey, assisted by B. Whiteman → 2-1; 90' S. Hansen → 2-2.
Yellow cards: Preston 1, Middlesbrough 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Preston 0.75, Middlesbrough 1.52; shots 7-14 (2-3 on target); possession 39%-61%; corners 3-4; pass accuracy 72%-83%.
Middlesbrough created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 1-2 in the second.
Standout players
J. Storey was Preston's highest-rated player at 9.2 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 3 tackles, won 11 of 13 duels.
M. Targett was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 4 tackles, won 5 of 7 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
13 September 2025: the Championship matchday 5 match ended Preston 2-2 Middlesbrough. Goals: L. Dobbin 22', M. Targett 72', J. Storey 88', S. Hansen 90'. Match stats: possession Preston 39%, Middlesbrough 61%; shots on target 2-3; expected goals (xG) 0.75-1.52.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.