Preston 2-1 Middlesbrough
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: D. Burgzorg 8.0 · F. Woodman 7.9 · S. Þórðarson 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections12:0425 January 2025: the Championship matchday 29 match ended Preston 2-1 Middlesbrough.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Preston scored first, in the 28th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 28' S. Þórðarson, assisted by M. Osmajić → 1-0; 52' D. Burgzorg, assisted by B. Doak → 1-1; 78' E. Riis, assisted by M. Frøkjær-Jensen → 2-1.
Yellow cards: Preston 3, Middlesbrough 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Preston 0.41, Middlesbrough 1.33; shots 10-16 (4-6 on target); possession 42%-58%; corners 6-4; pass accuracy 73%-80%.
Middlesbrough created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
F. Woodman was Preston's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 tackle, 5 saves, won 1 of 1 duels.
D. Burgzorg was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 8.0 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 2 key passes, 2 tackles, won 6 of 9 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
25 January 2025: the Championship matchday 29 match ended Preston 2-1 Middlesbrough. Goals: S. Þórðarson 28', D. Burgzorg 52', E. Riis 78'. Match stats: possession Preston 42%, Middlesbrough 58%; shots on target 4-6; expected goals (xG) 0.41-1.33.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.