Preston 2-1 Middlesbrough
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: L. Millar 7.7 · F. Azaz 7.7 · M. Clarke 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections16:5314 February 2024: the Championship matchday 32 match ended Preston 2-1 Middlesbrough.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Preston scored first, in the 23rd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 23' L. Millar → 1-0; 57' F. Azaz, assisted by J. Howson → 1-1; 60' E. Riis → 2-1.
Yellow cards: Preston 2, Middlesbrough 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Preston 1.17, Middlesbrough 0.92; shots 7-20 (3-4 on target); possession 38%-62%; corners 2-7; pass accuracy 66%-81%.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
L. Millar was Preston's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 3 key passes, 4 tackles, won 8 of 18 duels.
F. Azaz was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 3 tackles, won 10 of 20 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Preston vs Middlesbrough (Championship matchday 32, 14 February 2024) finished 2-1. Goals: L. Millar 23', F. Azaz 57', E. Riis 60'. Match stats: possession Preston 38%, Middlesbrough 62%; shots on target 3-4; expected goals (xG) 1.17-0.92.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.