Piteå 3-1 Järfälla
Ettan - Norra · Norra - 23Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Starting XIs
Line-ups ›Match analysis
5 sections23:4720 September 2026: the Ettan - Norra match ended Piteå 3-1 Järfälla.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Piteå came from behind in the second half to win. Järfälla scored first, in the 31st minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 31' N. Medhin T (penalty) → 0-1; 51' F. Johansson (penalty) → 1-1; 56' G. Felicia, assisted by Q. Hoeve → 2-1; 90' H. Naslund, assisted by F. Johansson → 3-1.
Yellow cards: Piteå 4, Järfälla 3.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 3-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: N. Medhin T, F. Johansson, G. Felicia, H. Naslund.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Piteå 43%, draw 24%, Järfälla 33%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Piteå beat Järfälla 3-1 in the Ettan - Norra on 20 September 2026. Goals: N. Medhin T 31' (pen), F. Johansson 51' (pen), G. Felicia 56', H. Naslund 90'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.