Orgryte IS 1-1 Hammarby FF
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Standouts: S. Lagerlund 7.6 · W. Hofvander 7.5 · F. Winther 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections22:416 September 2026: the Allsvenskan matchday 20 match ended Orgryte IS 1-1 Hammarby FF.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. Orgryte IS scored first, in the 11th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 11' W. Hofvander → 1-0; 18' V. Lind (penalty) → 1-1.
Yellow cards: Orgryte IS 0, Hammarby FF 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Orgryte IS 0.77, Hammarby FF 4.81; shots 2-26 (1-10 on target); possession 29%-71%; corners 2-8.
Hammarby FF created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
S. Lagerlund was Orgryte IS's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 90 minutes: 4 tackles, won 9 of 10 duels.
F. Winther was Hammarby FF's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 90 minutes: 2 tackles, won 7 of 10 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Orgryte IS 16%, draw 19%, Hammarby FF 65%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Orgryte IS drew with Hammarby FF 1-1 in the Allsvenskan matchday 20 on 6 September 2026. Goals: W. Hofvander 11', V. Lind 18' (pen). Match stats: possession Orgryte IS 29%, Hammarby FF 71%; shots on target 1-10; expected goals (xG) 0.77-4.81.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.