Nottingham Forest 1-2 Middlesbrough
Championship · Matchweek 25Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: L. Mbe Soh 7.9 · M. Tavernier 7.9 · J. Howson 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections16:1320 January 2021: the Championship matchday 25 match ended Nottingham Forest 1-2 Middlesbrough.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Middlesbrough scored first, in the 14th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 14' B. Assombalonga, assisted by J. Howson → 0-1; 50' G. Saville, assisted by M. Tavernier → 0-2; 90+3' L. Mbe Soh, assisted by J. Lolley → 1-2.
Yuri Ribeiro (Nottingham Forest) was sent off in the 90th minute; yellow cards: Nottingham Forest 3, Middlesbrough 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 5-16 (1-4 on target); possession 63%-37%; corners 4-6; pass accuracy 76%-63%.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
L. Mbe Soh was Nottingham Forest's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 8 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 tackle, won 2 of 3 duels.
M. Tavernier was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 89 minutes: 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 3 key passes, 2 tackles, won 13 of 22 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Nottingham Forest lost to Middlesbrough 1-2 in the Championship matchday 25 on 20 January 2021. Goals: B. Assombalonga 14', G. Saville 50', L. Mbe Soh 90+3'. Match stats: possession Nottingham Forest 63%, Middlesbrough 37%; shots on target 1-4.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.