Nottingham Forest 2-1 Middlesbrough
Championship · Matchweek 4Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: R. Gestede 7.8 · J. Worrall 7.5 · K. Dowell 7.4
Match analysis
5 sections22:16Nottingham Forest beat Middlesbrough 2-1 in the Championship matchday 4 on 19 August 2017.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Nottingham Forest scored first, in the 16th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 16' B. McKay, assisted by K. Dowell → 1-0; 79' D. Murphy (penalty) → 2-0; 83' B. Gibson, assisted by D. Fry → 2-1.
Yellow cards: Nottingham Forest 2, Middlesbrough 4.
Statistical comparison
Shots 11-17 (3-7 on target); possession 51%-49%; corners 5-5; pass accuracy 80%-77%.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
J. Worrall was Nottingham Forest's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 90 minutes: 1 shot on target, won 9 of 12 duels.
R. Gestede was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.8 in 90 minutes: 1 shot on target, 3 key passes, won 13 of 23 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
19 August 2017: the Championship matchday 4 match ended Nottingham Forest 2-1 Middlesbrough. Goals: B. McKay 16', D. Murphy 79' (pen), B. Gibson 83'. Match stats: possession Nottingham Forest 51%, Middlesbrough 49%; shots on target 3-7.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.