Norwich 1-2 Middlesbrough
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Gabriel Sara 7.7 · R. Giles 7.7 · T. Smith 7.6
Match analysis
5 sections05:5812 November 2022: the Championship matchday 21 match ended Norwich 1-2 Middlesbrough.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Middlesbrough came from behind in the second half to win. Norwich scored first, in the 7th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 7' J. Sargent, assisted by K. McLean → 1-0; 64' R. McGree, assisted by M. Forss → 1-1; 90+2' M. Crooks, assisted by C. Akpom → 1-2.
Yellow cards: Norwich 1, Middlesbrough 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 14-11 (6-3 on target); possession 45%-55%; corners 3-4; pass accuracy 85%-88%.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-2 in the second.
Standout players
Gabriel Sara was Norwich's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 83 minutes: 1 shot on target, 3 key passes, 1 tackle, won 4 of 5 duels.
R. Giles was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: 4 key passes, 1 tackle, won 1 of 1 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Norwich vs Middlesbrough (Championship matchday 21, 12 November 2022) finished 1-2. Goals: J. Sargent 7', R. McGree 64', M. Crooks 90+2'. Match stats: possession Norwich 45%, Middlesbrough 55%; shots on target 6-3.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.