Norwich 1-2 Middlesbrough
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: J. Rowe 7.7 · J. Howson 7.7 · M. Crooks 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections17:11Norwich lost to Middlesbrough 1-2 in the Championship matchday 13 on 24 October 2023.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Middlesbrough scored first, in the 46th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 46' S. Greenwood, assisted by J. Coburn → 0-1; 90+2' S. Silvera → 0-2; 90+9' J. Rowe, assisted by Gabriel Sara → 1-2.
Yellow cards: Norwich 2, Middlesbrough 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Norwich 0.50, Middlesbrough 1.17; shots 13-19 (2-8 on target); possession 52%-48%; corners 4-7; pass accuracy 83%-76%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.67.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 1-2 in the second.
Standout players
J. Rowe was Norwich's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, 2 tackles, won 8 of 15 duels.
J. Howson was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: 5 key passes, 4 tackles, won 6 of 10 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Norwich vs Middlesbrough (Championship matchday 13, 24 October 2023) finished 1-2. Goals: S. Greenwood 46', S. Silvera 90+2', J. Rowe 90+9'. Match stats: possession Norwich 52%, Middlesbrough 48%; shots on target 2-8; expected goals (xG) 0.50-1.17.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.