Millwall 1-0 Middlesbrough
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: J. Bryan 7.9 · H. Hackney 7.9 · J. Howson 7.6
Match analysis
5 sections15:44Millwall beat Middlesbrough 1-0 in the Championship matchday 42 on 12 April 2025.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Millwall scored first, in the 65th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 65' C. Neghli → 1-0.
Yellow cards: Millwall 1, Middlesbrough 0.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Millwall 1.63, Middlesbrough 0.69; shots 13-11 (4-4 on target); possession 39%-61%; corners 2-4; pass accuracy 71%-79%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.94.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
J. Bryan was Millwall's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 4 key passes, 1 tackle, won 2 of 9 duels.
H. Hackney was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, 3 tackles, won 11 of 16 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Millwall vs Middlesbrough (Championship matchday 42, 12 April 2025) finished 1-0. Goals: C. Neghli 65'. Match stats: possession Millwall 39%, Middlesbrough 61%; shots on target 4-4; expected goals (xG) 1.63-0.69.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.