Millwall 1-3 Middlesbrough
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: J. Bryan 7.5 · D. Watmore 7.3 · D. Fry 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections23:3113 January 2024: the Championship matchday 27 match ended Millwall 1-3 Middlesbrough.
Read more ›Close
Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Millwall scored first, in the 10th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 10' J. Bryan, assisted by Z. Flemming → 1-0; 38' L. Engel, assisted by S. Greenwood → 1-1; 58' I. Jones → 1-2; 90+5' M. Forss, assisted by M. Rogers → 1-3.
Yellow cards: Millwall 3, Middlesbrough 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Millwall 1.16, Middlesbrough 2.31; shots 15-14 (5-6 on target); possession 59%-41%; corners 5-4; pass accuracy 87%-81%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.15.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 0-2 in the second.
Standout players
J. Bryan was Millwall's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 3 key passes, 2 tackles, won 7 of 11 duels.
D. Fry was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 90 minutes: 1 shot on target, won 3 of 5 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
13 January 2024: the Championship matchday 27 match ended Millwall 1-3 Middlesbrough. Goals: J. Bryan 10', L. Engel 38', I. Jones 58', M. Forss 90+5'. Match stats: possession Millwall 59%, Middlesbrough 41%; shots on target 5-6; expected goals (xG) 1.16-2.31.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.