Middlesbrough 1-1 Wrexham
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: H. Hackney 8.2 · A. Morris 7.6 · L. Ayling 7.6
Match analysis
5 sections05:01Middlesbrough drew with Wrexham 1-1 in the Championship matchday 12 on 25 October 2025.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Middlesbrough levelled after the break. Wrexham scored first, in the 7th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 7' J. Windass, assisted by G. Thomason → 0-1; 80' H. Hackney, assisted by C. Brittain → 1-1.
Yellow cards: Middlesbrough 0, Wrexham 5.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Middlesbrough 0.77, Wrexham 0.68; shots 14-6 (4-2 on target); possession 69%-31%; corners 4-4; pass accuracy 88%-78%.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
H. Hackney was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 4 key passes, 1 tackle, won 2 of 3 duels.
J. Windass was Wrexham's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 64 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
25 October 2025: the Championship matchday 12 match ended Middlesbrough 1-1 Wrexham. Goals: J. Windass 7', H. Hackney 80'. Match stats: possession Middlesbrough 69%, Wrexham 31%; shots on target 4-2; expected goals (xG) 0.77-0.68.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.