Middlesbrough 1-0 West Brom
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: M. Rogers 8.5 · L. Engel 8.3 · A. Mowatt 8.2
Match analysis
5 sections15:5023 December 2023: the Championship matchday 23 match ended Middlesbrough 1-0 West Brom.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Middlesbrough scored first, in the 40th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 40' M. Rogers, assisted by L. Engel → 1-0.
Yellow cards: Middlesbrough 1, West Brom 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Middlesbrough 2.17, West Brom 0.35; shots 13-9 (4-2 on target); possession 47%-53%; corners 2-10; pass accuracy 86%-85%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.82.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
M. Rogers was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 8.5 in 79 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 5 key passes, 2 tackles, won 4 of 11 duels.
A. Mowatt was West Brom's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 90 minutes: 4 key passes, 2 tackles, won 7 of 9 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Middlesbrough beat West Brom 1-0 in the Championship matchday 23 on 23 December 2023. Goals: M. Rogers 40'. Match stats: possession Middlesbrough 47%, West Brom 53%; shots on target 4-2; expected goals (xG) 2.17-0.35.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.