Middlesbrough 1-1 Sunderland
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: J. Clarke 8.3 · R. van den Berg 7.7 · L. Engel 7.6
Match analysis
5 sections19:20Middlesbrough drew with Sunderland 1-1 in the Championship matchday 30 on 4 February 2024.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. Middlesbrough scored first, in the 61st minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 61' M. Forss → 1-0; 83' N. Rusyn, assisted by J. Clarke → 1-1.
Yellow cards: Middlesbrough 3, Sunderland 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Middlesbrough 1.64, Sunderland 1.05; shots 15-13 (2-5 on target); possession 53%-47%; corners 1-6; pass accuracy 84%-82%.
Middlesbrough created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
R. van den Berg was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: 2 tackles, won 3 of 5 duels.
J. Clarke was Sunderland's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 5 key passes, 1 tackle, won 4 of 9 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Middlesbrough vs Sunderland (Championship matchday 30, 4 February 2024) finished 1-1. Goals: M. Forss 61', N. Rusyn 83'. Match stats: possession Middlesbrough 53%, Sunderland 47%; shots on target 2-5; expected goals (xG) 1.64-1.05.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.