Middlesbrough 3-1 Stoke City
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: M. Crooks 8.3 · D. Fry 7.2 · L. Peltier 7.2
Match analysis
5 sections22:2330 April 2022: the Championship matchday 45 match ended Middlesbrough 3-1 Stoke City.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-0 at half-time. Middlesbrough scored first, in the 21st minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 21' M. Crooks, assisted by J. Howson → 1-0; 25' L. Baker (own goal) → 1-1; 72' M. Crooks, assisted by D. Fry → 2-1; 90+4' N. Powell → 2-2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 9-10 (2-3 on target); possession 42%-58%; corners 7-1; pass accuracy 74%-82%.
Goals by half: 2-0 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
M. Crooks was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 90 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, 2 tackles, won 8 of 14 duels.
N. Powell was Stoke City's highest-rated player at 7.0 in 45 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, won 1 of 4 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
30 April 2022: the Championship matchday 45 match ended Middlesbrough 3-1 Stoke City. Goals: M. Crooks 21', L. Baker 25' (o.g.), M. Crooks 72', N. Powell 90+4'. Match stats: possession Middlesbrough 42%, Stoke City 58%; shots on target 2-3.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.