Middlesbrough 1-1 Rotherham
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: M. Forss 7.6 · J. Hugill 7.5 · L. Ayling 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections13:4020 January 2024: the Championship matchday 28 match ended Middlesbrough 1-1 Rotherham.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. Rotherham scored first, in the 59th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 59' Cafú, assisted by J. Hugill → 0-1; 82' M. Forss, assisted by M. Rogers → 1-1.
Yellow cards: Middlesbrough 1, Rotherham 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Middlesbrough 0.77, Rotherham 0.49; shots 15-6 (3-2 on target); possession 70%-30%; corners 13-2; pass accuracy 85%-66%.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
M. Forss was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 70 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, 2 tackles, won 2 of 4 duels.
J. Hugill was Rotherham's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 76 minutes: 1 assist, 1 key pass, won 6 of 16 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Middlesbrough drew with Rotherham 1-1 in the Championship matchday 28 on 20 January 2024. Goals: Cafú 59', M. Forss 82'. Match stats: possession Middlesbrough 70%, Rotherham 30%; shots on target 3-2; expected goals (xG) 0.77-0.49.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.