Middlesbrough 3-1 QPR
Championship · Matchweek 21Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: M. Whittaker 8.2 · T. Conway 7.5 · N. Madsen 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections12:3313 December 2025: the Championship matchday 21 match ended Middlesbrough 3-1 QPR.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-0 at half-time. Middlesbrough scored first, in the 30th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 30' D. Strelec, assisted by H. Hackney → 1-0; 36' M. Whittaker, assisted by S. Brynn → 2-0; 50' T. Conway (penalty) → 3-0; 70' N. Madsen (penalty) → 3-1.
Yellow cards: Middlesbrough 1, QPR 0.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Middlesbrough 2.29, QPR 1.30; shots 18-13 (7-5 on target); possession 63%-37%; corners 9-4; pass accuracy 85%-76%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.99.
Goals by half: 2-0 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
M. Whittaker was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 83 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, 1 tackle, won 2 of 5 duels.
N. Madsen was QPR's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 2 tackles, won 4 of 5 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Middlesbrough beat QPR 3-1 in the Championship matchday 21 on 13 December 2025. Goals: D. Strelec 30', M. Whittaker 36', T. Conway 50' (pen), N. Madsen 70' (pen). Match stats: possession Middlesbrough 63%, QPR 37%; shots on target 7-5; expected goals (xG) 2.29-1.30.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.