Middlesbrough 1-1 Preston
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: B. Potts 7.9 · J. Storey 7.7 · F. Woodman 7.6
Match analysis
5 sections06:43Middlesbrough drew with Preston 1-1 in the Championship matchday 5 on 14 September 2024.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. Middlesbrough scored first, in the 16th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 16' T. Conway, assisted by L. Ayling → 1-0; 43' M. Frøkjær-Jensen, assisted by B. Potts → 1-1.
Yellow cards: Middlesbrough 0, Preston 5.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Middlesbrough 1.64, Preston 0.44; shots 16-5 (6-1 on target); possession 55%-45%; corners 9-2; pass accuracy 85%-80%.
Middlesbrough created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
T. Conway was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 1 tackle, won 3 of 6 duels.
B. Potts was Preston's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 1 key pass, 2 tackles, won 6 of 10 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Middlesbrough vs Preston (Championship matchday 5, 14 September 2024) finished 1-1. Goals: T. Conway 16', M. Frøkjær-Jensen 43'. Match stats: possession Middlesbrough 55%, Preston 45%; shots on target 6-1; expected goals (xG) 1.64-0.44.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.