Middlesbrough 4-0 Preston
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: M. Rogers 8.2 · A. Bangura 8.0 · I. Jones 8.0
Match analysis
5 sections05:4928 November 2023: the Championship matchday 18 match ended Middlesbrough 4-0 Preston.
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Result and story of the match
It was 3-0 at half-time. Middlesbrough scored first, in the 16th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 16' I. Jones, assisted by M. Crooks → 1-0; 26' R. van den Berg, assisted by D. Barlaser → 2-0; 37' I. Jones, assisted by M. Rogers → 3-0; 90+4' A. Bangura, assisted by S. Greenwood → 4-0.
Yellow cards: Middlesbrough 0, Preston 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Middlesbrough 2.87, Preston 0.18; shots 13-6 (8-1 on target); possession 58%-42%; corners 7-3; pass accuracy 85%-81%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 2.69.
Goals by half: 3-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
M. Rogers was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 70 minutes: 1 assist, 2 shots on target, 2 key passes, 2 tackles, won 4 of 12 duels.
F. Woodman was Preston's highest-rated player at 6.9 in 90 minutes: 4 saves.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Middlesbrough beat Preston 4-0 in the Championship matchday 18 on 28 November 2023. Goals: I. Jones 16', R. van den Berg 26', I. Jones 37', A. Bangura 90+4'. Match stats: possession Middlesbrough 58%, Preston 42%; shots on target 8-1; expected goals (xG) 2.87-0.18.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.