Middlesbrough 0-1 Millwall
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: S. Hutchinson 8.0 · P. McNair 7.6 · H. Hackney 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections00:535 August 2023: the Championship matchday 1 match ended Middlesbrough 0-1 Millwall.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Millwall scored first, in the 79th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 79' R. Esse, assisted by A. Emakhu → 0-1.
Yellow cards: Middlesbrough 1, Millwall 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Middlesbrough 0.74, Millwall 1.23; shots 16-12 (2-2 on target); possession 68%-32%; corners 12-6; pass accuracy 87%-70%.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
P. McNair was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 90 minutes: 2 key passes, 1 tackle, won 6 of 8 duels.
S. Hutchinson was Millwall's highest-rated player at 8.0 in 90 minutes: 1 key pass, 9 tackles, won 12 of 14 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
5 August 2023: the Championship matchday 1 match ended Middlesbrough 0-1 Millwall. Goals: R. Esse 79'. Match stats: possession Middlesbrough 68%, Millwall 32%; shots on target 2-2; expected goals (xG) 0.74-1.23.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.