Middlesbrough 2-1 Luton
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: I. Jones 7.5 · H. Cornick 7.3 · J. Lumley 7.2
Match analysis
5 sections03:225 March 2022: the Championship matchday 36 match ended Middlesbrough 2-1 Luton.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Middlesbrough scored first, in the 17th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 17' P. McNair (penalty) → 1-0; 87' D. Watmore → 2-0; 90+6' H. Cornick, assisted by E. Adebayo → 2-1.
Yellow cards: Middlesbrough 2, Luton 3.
Statistical comparison
Shots 8-9 (3-5 on target); possession 56%-44%; corners 4-2; pass accuracy 69%-63%.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
I. Jones was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 89 minutes: 2 tackles, won 11 of 13 duels.
H. Cornick was Luton's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 17 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Middlesbrough beat Luton 2-1 in the Championship matchday 36 on 5 March 2022. Goals: P. McNair 17' (pen), D. Watmore 87', H. Cornick 90+6'. Match stats: possession Middlesbrough 56%, Luton 44%; shots on target 3-5.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.