Middlesbrough 0-1 Hull City
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: I. Pandur 8.9 · J. Egan 7.7 · A. Morris 7.6
Match analysis
5 sections10:58Middlesbrough lost to Hull City 0-1 in the Championship matchday 24 on 29 December 2025.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Hull City scored first, in the 12th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 12' D. Gyabi, assisted by K. Joseph → 0-1.
Yellow cards: Middlesbrough 1, Hull City 4.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Middlesbrough 1.47, Hull City 0.29; shots 23-4 (5-1 on target); possession 71%-29%; corners 10-2; pass accuracy 86%-73%.
Middlesbrough created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
A. Morris was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 31 minutes: 2 key passes, won 4 of 6 duels.
I. Pandur was Hull City's highest-rated player at 8.9 in 90 minutes: 5 saves, won 1 of 1 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Middlesbrough lost to Hull City 0-1 in the Championship matchday 24 on 29 December 2025. Goals: D. Gyabi 12'. Match stats: possession Middlesbrough 71%, Hull City 29%; shots on target 5-1; expected goals (xG) 1.47-0.29.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.