Middlesbrough 0-4 Doncaster
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: T. Nixon 8.5 · B. Close 8.2 · I. Lawlor 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections05:3612 August 2025: the League Cup match ended Middlesbrough 0-4 Doncaster.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-2 at half-time. Doncaster scored first, in the 11th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 11' B. Close, assisted by B. Sharp → 0-1; 22' D. Ajayi → 0-2; 84' R. Gotts, assisted by L. Molyneux → 0-3; 90' T. Nixon → 0-4.
Yellow cards: Middlesbrough 1, Doncaster 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Middlesbrough 1.49, Doncaster 1.57; shots 18-18 (5-5 on target); possession 62%-38%; corners 7-2; pass accuracy 85%-76%.
Goals by half: 0-2 in the first, 0-2 in the second.
Standout players
A. Morris was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 30 minutes: 1 key pass, 1 tackle, won 4 of 4 duels.
T. Nixon was Doncaster's highest-rated player at 8.5 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 3 tackles, won 5 of 9 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
12 August 2025: the League Cup match ended Middlesbrough 0-4 Doncaster. Goals: B. Close 11', D. Ajayi 22', R. Gotts 84', T. Nixon 90'. Match stats: possession Middlesbrough 62%, Doncaster 38%; shots on target 5-5; expected goals (xG) 1.49-1.57.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.