Middlesbrough 1-1 Derby
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: D. Randolph 7.9 · S. Downing 7.4 · A. Flint 7.2
Match analysis
5 sections02:40Middlesbrough drew with Derby 1-1 in the Championship matchday 15 on 27 October 2018.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Middlesbrough levelled after the break. Middlesbrough scored first, in the 19th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 19' G. Friend (own goal) → 1-0; 84' J. Bogle (own goal) → 1-1.
Yellow cards: Middlesbrough 1, Derby 1.
Statistical comparison
Shots 10-18 (0-7 on target); possession 41%-59%; corners 9-4; pass accuracy 65%-75%.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
D. Randolph was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 7 saves.
F. Tomori was Derby's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 90 minutes: 1 tackle, won 10 of 13 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Middlesbrough vs Derby (Championship matchday 15, 27 October 2018) finished 1-1. Goals: G. Friend 19' (o.g.), J. Bogle 84' (o.g.). Match stats: possession Middlesbrough 41%, Derby 59%; shots on target 0-7.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.