Middlesbrough 2-0 Derby
Model accuracy
Match stats
Starting XIs
Line-ups ›Standouts: G. Friend 8.4 · G. Leadbitter 7.9 · A. Adomah 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections23:492 January 2016: the Championship matchday 25 match ended Middlesbrough 2-0 Derby.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Middlesbrough scored first, in the 83rd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 83' A. Adomah, assisted by G. Leadbitter → 1-0; 84' G. Friend, assisted by D. Nugent → 2-0.
Yellow cards: Middlesbrough 0, Derby 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 16-10 (4-2 on target); possession 47%-53%; corners 5-7; pass accuracy 78%-78%.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 2-0 in the second.
Standout players
G. Friend was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 8.4 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, won 9 of 15 duels.
T. Ince was Derby's highest-rated player at 7.4 in 90 minutes: 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, won 8 of 13 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Middlesbrough vs Derby (Championship matchday 25, 2 January 2016) finished 2-0. Goals: A. Adomah 83', G. Friend 84'. Match stats: possession Middlesbrough 47%, Derby 53%; shots on target 4-2.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.