Middlesbrough 2-2 Derby
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: P. McNair 7.5 · J. Knight 7.4 · M. Tavernier 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections08:1411 January 2020: the Championship matchday 27 match ended Middlesbrough 2-2 Derby.
Read more ›Close
Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Derby levelled after the break. Middlesbrough scored first, in the 16th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 16' L. Wing, assisted by M. Tavernier → 1-0; 54' J. Knight, assisted by T. Lawrence → 1-1; 67' P. McNair (penalty) → 2-1; 90+1' D. Holmes → 2-2.
Yellow cards: Middlesbrough 1, Derby 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 15-7 (5-3 on target); possession 46%-54%; corners 5-2; pass accuracy 74%-76%.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 1-2 in the second.
Standout players
P. McNair was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, won 5 of 6 duels.
J. Knight was Derby's highest-rated player at 7.4 in 83 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 5 tackles, won 8 of 13 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Middlesbrough drew with Derby 2-2 in the Championship matchday 27 on 11 January 2020. Goals: L. Wing 16', J. Knight 54', P. McNair 67' (pen), D. Holmes 90+1'. Match stats: possession Middlesbrough 46%, Derby 54%; shots on target 5-3.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.