Middlesbrough 0-3 Derby
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: M. Vydra 8.6 · S. Downing 7.6 · B. Gibson 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections02:2625 November 2017: the Championship matchday 19 match ended Middlesbrough 0-3 Derby.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Derby scored first, in the 13th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 13' M. Vydra → 0-1; 47' M. Vydra (penalty) → 0-2; 63' M. Vydra → 0-3.
Daniel Ayala (Middlesbrough) was sent off in the 60th minute; yellow cards: Middlesbrough 3, Derby 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 16-13 (2-8 on target); possession 59%-41%; corners 11-6; pass accuracy 83%-71%.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 0-2 in the second.
Standout players
S. Downing was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 80 minutes: 4 key passes, won 4 of 5 duels.
M. Vydra was Derby's highest-rated player at 8.6 in 67 minutes: 3 goals, 3 shots on target, won 2 of 10 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Middlesbrough lost to Derby 0-3 in the Championship matchday 19 on 25 November 2017. Goals: M. Vydra 13', M. Vydra 47' (pen), M. Vydra 63'. Match stats: possession Middlesbrough 59%, Derby 41%; shots on target 2-8.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.