Middlesbrough 2-4 Coventry
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: L. Kitching 8.9 · E. Simms 8.9 · M. Grimes 8.2
Match analysis
5 sections03:48Middlesbrough lost to Coventry 2-4 in the Championship matchday 17 on 25 November 2025.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-2 at half-time. Coventry scored first, in the 10th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 10' E. Simms, assisted by V. Torp → 0-1; 14' L. Kitching, assisted by M. Grimes → 0-2; 32' M. Whittaker, assisted by A. Jones → 1-2; 49' B. Thomas (own goal) → 1-3; 85' L. Kitching → 1-4; 86' E. Simms, assisted by J. Dasilva → 1-5.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Middlesbrough 1.05, Coventry 1.40; shots 11-20 (2-8 on target); possession 60%-40%; corners 8-3; pass accuracy 89%-83%.
Goals by half: 1-2 in the first, 1-2 in the second.
Standout players
H. Hackney was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 key pass, 3 tackles, won 9 of 15 duels.
L. Kitching was Coventry's highest-rated player at 8.9 in 90 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, 2 tackles, won 6 of 9 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Middlesbrough lost to Coventry 2-4 in the Championship matchday 17 on 25 November 2025. Goals: E. Simms 10', L. Kitching 14', M. Whittaker 32', B. Thomas 49' (o.g.), L. Kitching 85', E. Simms 86'. Match stats: possession Middlesbrough 60%, Coventry 40%; shots on target 2-8; expected goals (xG) 1.05-1.40.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.