Middlesbrough 1-1 Cardiff
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: D. Barlaser 7.7 · H. Hackney 7.5 · C. Chambers 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections22:38Middlesbrough drew with Cardiff 1-1 in the Championship matchday 26 on 4 January 2025.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. Middlesbrough scored first, in the 11th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 11' E. Latte Lath, assisted by B. Doak → 1-0; 21' C. Chambers → 1-1.
Yellow cards: Middlesbrough 2, Cardiff 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Middlesbrough 0.77, Cardiff 0.55; shots 9-8 (3-2 on target); possession 75%-25%; corners 4-4; pass accuracy 90%-62%.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
D. Barlaser was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, won 2 of 8 duels.
C. Chambers was Cardiff's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 2 tackles, won 4 of 10 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
4 January 2025: the Championship matchday 26 match ended Middlesbrough 1-1 Cardiff. Goals: E. Latte Lath 11', C. Chambers 21'. Match stats: possession Middlesbrough 75%, Cardiff 25%; shots on target 3-2; expected goals (xG) 0.77-0.55.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.